by John Mauldin
August 22, 2008
Yet another crisis confronts us, as we will have to deal with the aftermath of a rather large number of bank failures over the next year, which is likely to overwhelm the ability of the FDIC to insure your bank deposits. Today we look at the banking system, the FDIC, and Freddie and Fannie. It's not pretty, but as realists we must know what we are facing.
The US Banking System Is in Trouble
A few weeks ago when I was in Maine, I met Chris Whalen. Chris is the managing director of a service called Institutional Risk Analytics, whose primary business is analyzing the health of banks and financial institutions. If you are one of their clients, you can go to their web site and drill quite deep into all aspects of every bank in America. And what they have done is come up with various metrics which compare how well-capitalized a bank is, how much risk it is taking, and what kind of losses (or profits) it can expect. It is a one of a kind firm, and the data gives Chris a very special perspective on the US banking system.
And what he sees is not pretty. There is a crisis brewing. He expects 100 banks to fail between now and July of 2009. Most of them will be small, but there will be a few large banks. The total assets of those banks he estimates to be $850 billion (not a typo!). Those are the assets the FDIC is going to have to cover when they take over the banks.
Take Washington Mutual as an example. There are problems there. Their debt now trades at 20%, which is worse than junk. There is no way they could issue preferred stock to recapitalize their business. And they are going to need more capital, as they have writedowns in their future due to the slowing of the economy. Any common issue would have to seriously dilute existing shareholders almost to the point of nothing. There are circumstances in which they can survive, but it would take a remarkable recovery for the US economy, which is not likely. Maybe management can pull a rabbit out of the hat, but it will need some strong magic to get the capital they need at a cost they can live with.
The FDIC has about $50 billion. These reserves have been built up over the years from deposit insurance paid by banks that are part of the program. They are going to need an estimated $20 billion just to cover the failure of Indy Mac. The FDIC will have to cover only a small percentage of the $850 billion, as some of those assets will surely be good. But if they have to cover 10%, then the FDIC would need another $50 billion. Does that sound like a lot? Chris thinks a more conservative number for planning purposes would be 20-25% potential losses, and you hope it does not get there.
Sometime in the next few quarters, Congress and the President, either the current group or early in the term of the next President, are going to have to address that potential shortfall, before we see bank runs as people fear that FDIC insurance reserves may not be enough. The very sad fact is that taxpayers are going to be on the hook for some time. What is likely to happen is that a loan facility will be made to the FDIC so they can borrow as much as they need, and pay it back from future bank insurance payments.
You can't make up the shortfall just by raising fees. Chris points out that raising fees right now is not really a winning option, as that just makes the financial books of marginal banks even worse. You can raise rates as the banking system returns to health.
If Congress and the President wait too long, there could be a very serious problem, as depositors could start moving their funds under $100,000 (the insured amount) to what they perceive may be a safer bank than their current bank. Rumors could run rampant. This is something that needs to be addressed now. Frankly, this should be addressed right after the elections AT THE LATEST, in consultation with Congress and the new President.
If you are worried about your bank, you can go to Chris's web site and pay $50 for a brief analysis of your bank and an update for the next four quarters. If you have less than $100,000 in your accounts, you should not worry. But for businesses with large deposits and cash flows, it might be worth checking on the health of your bank. The link is http://us1.institutionalriskanalytics.com/Cart/Request.asp?affiliate=bmg123.
You can click on the link that says "Click here for the free samples" in the lower right corner of the page to see if the format of what they offer is something you would find useful.
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John Mauldin, Best-Selling author and recognized financial expert, is also editor of the free Thoughts From the Frontline that goes to over 1 million readers each week. For more information on John or his FREE weekly economic letter go to: http://www.frontlinethoughts.com/learnmore
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[While the rest of the local real estate community hates the bad news, now is not the time to be sticking your head in the sand. The SCV Home team likes to get ALL of the information, and go on from there. While we feel that it is always a great real estate market, it is not great for everyone at the same time. If you are thinking of BUYING REAL ESTATE in our local North Los Angeles market area, please give us a call today at 661-290-3750.]
Monday, August 25, 2008
Thursday, August 14, 2008
Recover and Rebuild from a Foreclosure or Short Sale
When homeowners find themselves upside down in their mortgage payments, they have no idea of which direction to turn, and it seems that it is almost impossible to get straight answers to their questions about what options they have, and how each option will affect their credit. The following is information to help answer those questions. Remember, there are NO quick fixes when it comes to credit, so it is imperative that you don't wait until the last minute to understand what the implications for your financial future are.
FORECLOSURE
Foreclosure is the legal process in which a bank or other secured creditor either sells or repossesses a parcel of real property, home or land, after the owner has failed to comply with the mortgage or deed of trust agreement with the lender. Most frequently, the violation of the mortgage agreement is the default of payment. The completion of the foreclosure process allows the lender to sell the property, and keep the proceeds to pay off the mortgage as well as any legal costs. The length of the foreclosure process varies from state to state.
If the foreclosed property is sold for less than the remaining primary mortgage balance, and there is no insurance to cover the loss, the court overseeing the foreclosure process may enter a deficiency judgment against the borrower. Deficiency judgments can be used to place a lien on the borrower's other personal property, obligating the borrower to repay the difference or suffer the loss of their property. It gives the lender a legal right to collect the remainder of debt out of borrower's other existing assets.
However, there are exceptions to this rule. If the mortgage is classified as "non-recourse debt," then the borrower has no personal liability in the event of foreclosure. This is often the case with residential mortgages. If so, the lender may not go after borrower's personal assets to recoup additional loss.
The lender's ability to pursue a deficiency judgment can be restricted by state laws. In California and some other states, original mortgages (the ones taken out at the time of purchase) are typically non-recourse loans, however, refinanced loans and home equity lines of credit aren't.
If the lender chooses not to pursue deficiency judgment---or can't because the mortgage is non-recourse-and writes off the loss, the borrower may have to pay income taxes on the un-repaid amount if it can be considered "forgiven debt."
Any other loans taken out against the property being foreclosed (second mortgages, HELOCs) are "wiped out" by foreclosure (in the sense that they are no longer attached to the property), but the borrower is still obligated to pay them off if they are not paid out of the foreclosure auction's proceeds.
How Does a Foreclosure Affect Credit?
A foreclosure can be reported as a Foreclosure or Repossession and carries a derogatory payment status of 8 or 9 (M1, R1 and I1 being the best and R9, I9, etc. being the most negative) which is just under a Public Record. There is a misconception that foreclosures are considered Public Records to the scoring system, however, they are not. Although there is a Public Notice Record on file once a foreclosure is filed, but this record is completely different than a credit report public record.
A Foreclosure will remain on a credit report for 7 years from completion date. And the score will drop from 50-250 points. The difference in point loss depends on how many points your client has to lose in the payment history factor of their credit. So if someone has a 750 credit score, and they opt to foreclose, their score could drop up to 250 points. However, if someone has a 500 credit score, they may lose 50 points for the same derogatory.
If a Deficiency Judgment or Tax Lien is filed in connection with a Foreclosure, the credit score can drop an additional 100 points.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
The current selling guideline from Fannie Mae has upped the previous 4 year period of how much time must elapse after a foreclosure to 5 years from the date the foreclosure proceeding is completed, not started.
The exception for extenuating circumstances has been increased from a 2 year to a 3 year waiting period.
WORD OF CAUTION: If you have a borrower going through a foreclosure due to circumstances of losing a job, a medical crisis, sub-prime mortgage crisis fall-out, I suggest that you advise them to fully document their experience now. Not to wait until later, because the details and emotional energy of what they are going through will be more difficult to document and prove down the road if they decide to apply for a loan in 2 years based on an extenuating circumstance claim.
In General: When it comes to foreclosure and how it affects the ability to obtain credit in the future, there are multiple points of extremely negative impact. Deficiency judgments for the amount not collected by the lender in the foreclosure sale can end up on the borrower's credit report as a derogatory mark. Additionally, there is a high risk that the borrower will be hit with a substantial tax penalty which can result in a tax lien, which also appears on the credit report. As a general rule, other than a bankruptcy, foreclosure is the least desirable of all of the options available when a borrower is upside down in a home mortgage.
Deed in Lieu Of Foreclosure
An alternative to foreclosure is a "deed in lieu of foreclosure." In this scenario, the borrower turns the house over to the lender and walks away without owing anything. A deed in lieu of foreclosure offers several advantages to both the borrower and the lender. The main advantage to the borrower is that it immediately releases him or her from most or all of the personal debt associated with the defaulted loan. The borrower also avoids a foreclosure proceeding and may receive more generous terms than he or she would in a formal foreclosure. Advantages to a lender include a reduction in the time and cost of repossessing the property.
However, the lender usually will not proceed with a deed in lieu of foreclosure if the outstanding debt on the property exceeds the current fair market value of the property. So in this market, this option probably won't be available to most homeowners who are upside down.
How Does a Deed in Lieu Of Foreclosure Affect the Borrower's Credit?
Most lenders report a deed in lieu of foreclosure as a foreclosure, so the credit scores will carry the same serious affect as if it were an actual foreclosure. However, what most borrowers don't know is that they can negotiate with the lender to report it differently in return for turning over the deed and avoiding foreclosure costs.
Many lenders will say that they cannot change the reporting status, but they can.
Here are their options in preferred order:
• Paid As Agreed - Credit scores will have already dropped over 100 points due to default in payments, however, if reported as Paid As Agreed, the borrower will be able to purchase another home in a shorter time period.
• Paid Settlement - Credit scores could drop up to 150 points.
The item will remain on the credit report for 7 years from the completion date or the settlement date.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
The selling guideline from Fannie Mae has not changed. It is a 4 year period of how much time must elapse after a deed in lieu of foreclosure proceeding is completed.
The exception for extenuating circumstances also remains the same at 2 years.
Short Sale (aka Pre-Foreclosure Sale)
In my opinion, the best option is a short sale, which occurs when a bank or mortgage lender agrees to discount a loan balance, due to an economic hardship on the part of the home owner. The home owner sells the mortgaged property for less than the outstanding balance of the loan, and turns over the proceeds of the sale to the lender in full satisfaction of the debt. In such instances, the lender would have the right to approve or disapprove a proposed sale.
A short sale is typically executed to prevent a home foreclosure. Lenders often choose to allow a short sale if they believe that it will result in a smaller financial loss than foreclosing. For the home owners, the advantages include avoidance of having foreclosures on their credit histories. Additionally, a short sale is typically faster and less expensive than a foreclosure.
Junior lien holders, such as holders of second mortgages, HELOC lenders, and homeowner associations (special assessment liens), may also need to approve the short sale. Frequent objectors to short sales include those who hold tax liens (income, estate or corporate franchise tax - as opposed to real property taxes, which have priority even unrecorded) and mechanic's lien holders. It is possible for junior lien holders to prevent the short sale.
While it is frequently common for a lender to forgive the balance of the loan in question, it is unlikely that a lien holder that is not a mortgagee will forgive any of their balance. Further, it is common for a lender to omit updating the zero balance and settlement option on the mortgagor's credit report, or even flat-out refuse to do so "due to their financial loss."
The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act Of 2007
When the lender decides to forgive all or a portion of the debt and accept less, the forgiven amount is considered as income for the borrower, like with a foreclosure, leaving it open to be taxed. However, The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007 contains amendments to remove such tax liability, allowing the borrower and lender to work together to find a solution beneficial to both parties.
How Does a Short Sale Affect the Borrower's Credit?
The few reported short sales that I have seen have appeared as "Paid Settlements" on a mortgage account. In the wake of the current mortgage crisis, short sales are becoming extremely common, but legislation has not caught up with the tidal wave and there is no law on the books relating to them to date. As a result, there is an opportunity for the borrower to negotiate credit reporting with the lender. I've seen several successful negotiations, so be sure to let your borrower know that it is possible.
My view - a short sale proves that the borrower is exhausting every effort to pay the loan. The borrower has willingly committed to taking on months of emotional and physical stress in a good-faith effort to sell the property to maintain a good relationship with that lender. Most likely, the reason they can't afford their current mortgage is because they were in an adjustable product and their mortgage payment has doubled. That doesn't mean that they can't afford a different loan program with a lower payment. Which leads me to wonder what the incentive is for lenders not to negotiate with the borrower on how the item is reported to the bureaus. All they would be doing is cutting off a pretty substantial future income stream if they put these types of borrowers out of the market for two years. In that light, negotiation for a non-report on short sales is well worth it.
Here are their options in preferred order:
• Paid As Agreed - Won't hurt the score at all as long as the borrower has kept payments current.
Unrated - May drop a few points.
• Paid Settlement - Credit score will drop 50-150 points.
If reported, the item will remain on the credit report for 7 years from the completion date or the settlement date.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
A few weeks ago, Fannie Mae was going to consider a short sale the same as a foreclosure, however, the current selling guideline from Fannie Mae has reduced the amount of time that must elapse after a short sale to 2 years from the date the short sale is completed, not started.
There is no exception for extenuating circumstances.
Bankruptcy Mortgage Relief
Currently, bankruptcy offers very limited protection to a homeowner who is upside down with their payments. The borrower can file a Chapter 7 which, depending on the state bankruptcy law, will most likely require him or her to surrender the property to the bankruptcy court, or file a Chapter 13 debt repayment plan to spread out prior delinquent payments over a number of months or years in the future. However, no bankruptcy proceeding can modify the terms of an existing home loan on a principal residence. Legislation is being proposed to Congress that would allow bankruptcy judges to modify the terms of an existing mortgage loan. I would not hold my breath. It could take years to make further substantial changes to the bankruptcy laws.
How Does a Bankruptcy Affect the Borrower's Credit?
My advice on this is to avoid Bankruptcy at all costs unless, your borrower is upside down on everything. Not only have the new bankruptcy filing requirements become more difficult and more costly, a public record will wreak havoc on credit scores and could stop someone from being hired or renting a place to live.
A Chapter 7 Bankruptcy will remain on the report for 10 years, and a Chapter 13 will remain for 7. The point loss could be from 100-350 points, depending on how many points the borrower has to lose in this factor.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
The selling guideline from Fannie Mae has not changed. It is a 4 year period of how much time must elapse after a Chapter 7 Bankruptcy. The 4 year period can start on either the discharge or dismissal date.
The exception for extenuating circumstances is 2 years.
Again, the selling guideline from Fannie Mae has not changed. It is a 2 year period of how much time must elapse after a Chapter 13 Bankruptcy. The 2 year period can start on either the discharge or dismissal date.
In the case of multiple bankruptcies, the current selling guidelines that have just been added require a 5 year waiting period from the most recent discharge or dismissal date.
The exception for extenuating circumstances in the case of multiple bankruptcies is a 3 year waiting period from the most recent discharge or dismissal date.
What's the Good News?•
Aging Out: In all instances above where I reference how many points will be lost in each scenario, it is important to make sure your clients understand that over time, all derogatory accounts age out. This means, the older the account becomes, the less it will hurt their credit scores.
• 7 Year Reporting Period: The law states that derogatory items "can be" reported for 7-10 years as outlined above. It doesn't state that they "MUST BE.' My experience proves over and over again that there is no need to wait out the 7 years. You don't have to. You can start seeking early removal of the item by disputing to the credit bureaus that are reporting it. In many instances, after 3-4 years, the item will be deleted.
• You can Start Recovering and Rebuilding immediately. This is key information because many consumers feel doomed for the next 10 years. They have no idea that they can start rebuilding their credit immediately.
Information provided by Linda Ferrari, President, Credit Resource Corp. & Country Ridge Financial
as sent by Colleen Craig, Countryridge Financial in Valencia 661-290-3700
FORECLOSURE
Foreclosure is the legal process in which a bank or other secured creditor either sells or repossesses a parcel of real property, home or land, after the owner has failed to comply with the mortgage or deed of trust agreement with the lender. Most frequently, the violation of the mortgage agreement is the default of payment. The completion of the foreclosure process allows the lender to sell the property, and keep the proceeds to pay off the mortgage as well as any legal costs. The length of the foreclosure process varies from state to state.
If the foreclosed property is sold for less than the remaining primary mortgage balance, and there is no insurance to cover the loss, the court overseeing the foreclosure process may enter a deficiency judgment against the borrower. Deficiency judgments can be used to place a lien on the borrower's other personal property, obligating the borrower to repay the difference or suffer the loss of their property. It gives the lender a legal right to collect the remainder of debt out of borrower's other existing assets.
However, there are exceptions to this rule. If the mortgage is classified as "non-recourse debt," then the borrower has no personal liability in the event of foreclosure. This is often the case with residential mortgages. If so, the lender may not go after borrower's personal assets to recoup additional loss.
The lender's ability to pursue a deficiency judgment can be restricted by state laws. In California and some other states, original mortgages (the ones taken out at the time of purchase) are typically non-recourse loans, however, refinanced loans and home equity lines of credit aren't.
If the lender chooses not to pursue deficiency judgment---or can't because the mortgage is non-recourse-and writes off the loss, the borrower may have to pay income taxes on the un-repaid amount if it can be considered "forgiven debt."
Any other loans taken out against the property being foreclosed (second mortgages, HELOCs) are "wiped out" by foreclosure (in the sense that they are no longer attached to the property), but the borrower is still obligated to pay them off if they are not paid out of the foreclosure auction's proceeds.
How Does a Foreclosure Affect Credit?
A foreclosure can be reported as a Foreclosure or Repossession and carries a derogatory payment status of 8 or 9 (M1, R1 and I1 being the best and R9, I9, etc. being the most negative) which is just under a Public Record. There is a misconception that foreclosures are considered Public Records to the scoring system, however, they are not. Although there is a Public Notice Record on file once a foreclosure is filed, but this record is completely different than a credit report public record.
A Foreclosure will remain on a credit report for 7 years from completion date. And the score will drop from 50-250 points. The difference in point loss depends on how many points your client has to lose in the payment history factor of their credit. So if someone has a 750 credit score, and they opt to foreclose, their score could drop up to 250 points. However, if someone has a 500 credit score, they may lose 50 points for the same derogatory.
If a Deficiency Judgment or Tax Lien is filed in connection with a Foreclosure, the credit score can drop an additional 100 points.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
The current selling guideline from Fannie Mae has upped the previous 4 year period of how much time must elapse after a foreclosure to 5 years from the date the foreclosure proceeding is completed, not started.
The exception for extenuating circumstances has been increased from a 2 year to a 3 year waiting period.
WORD OF CAUTION: If you have a borrower going through a foreclosure due to circumstances of losing a job, a medical crisis, sub-prime mortgage crisis fall-out, I suggest that you advise them to fully document their experience now. Not to wait until later, because the details and emotional energy of what they are going through will be more difficult to document and prove down the road if they decide to apply for a loan in 2 years based on an extenuating circumstance claim.
In General: When it comes to foreclosure and how it affects the ability to obtain credit in the future, there are multiple points of extremely negative impact. Deficiency judgments for the amount not collected by the lender in the foreclosure sale can end up on the borrower's credit report as a derogatory mark. Additionally, there is a high risk that the borrower will be hit with a substantial tax penalty which can result in a tax lien, which also appears on the credit report. As a general rule, other than a bankruptcy, foreclosure is the least desirable of all of the options available when a borrower is upside down in a home mortgage.
Deed in Lieu Of Foreclosure
An alternative to foreclosure is a "deed in lieu of foreclosure." In this scenario, the borrower turns the house over to the lender and walks away without owing anything. A deed in lieu of foreclosure offers several advantages to both the borrower and the lender. The main advantage to the borrower is that it immediately releases him or her from most or all of the personal debt associated with the defaulted loan. The borrower also avoids a foreclosure proceeding and may receive more generous terms than he or she would in a formal foreclosure. Advantages to a lender include a reduction in the time and cost of repossessing the property.
However, the lender usually will not proceed with a deed in lieu of foreclosure if the outstanding debt on the property exceeds the current fair market value of the property. So in this market, this option probably won't be available to most homeowners who are upside down.
How Does a Deed in Lieu Of Foreclosure Affect the Borrower's Credit?
Most lenders report a deed in lieu of foreclosure as a foreclosure, so the credit scores will carry the same serious affect as if it were an actual foreclosure. However, what most borrowers don't know is that they can negotiate with the lender to report it differently in return for turning over the deed and avoiding foreclosure costs.
Many lenders will say that they cannot change the reporting status, but they can.
Here are their options in preferred order:
• Paid As Agreed - Credit scores will have already dropped over 100 points due to default in payments, however, if reported as Paid As Agreed, the borrower will be able to purchase another home in a shorter time period.
• Paid Settlement - Credit scores could drop up to 150 points.
The item will remain on the credit report for 7 years from the completion date or the settlement date.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
The selling guideline from Fannie Mae has not changed. It is a 4 year period of how much time must elapse after a deed in lieu of foreclosure proceeding is completed.
The exception for extenuating circumstances also remains the same at 2 years.
Short Sale (aka Pre-Foreclosure Sale)
In my opinion, the best option is a short sale, which occurs when a bank or mortgage lender agrees to discount a loan balance, due to an economic hardship on the part of the home owner. The home owner sells the mortgaged property for less than the outstanding balance of the loan, and turns over the proceeds of the sale to the lender in full satisfaction of the debt. In such instances, the lender would have the right to approve or disapprove a proposed sale.
A short sale is typically executed to prevent a home foreclosure. Lenders often choose to allow a short sale if they believe that it will result in a smaller financial loss than foreclosing. For the home owners, the advantages include avoidance of having foreclosures on their credit histories. Additionally, a short sale is typically faster and less expensive than a foreclosure.
Junior lien holders, such as holders of second mortgages, HELOC lenders, and homeowner associations (special assessment liens), may also need to approve the short sale. Frequent objectors to short sales include those who hold tax liens (income, estate or corporate franchise tax - as opposed to real property taxes, which have priority even unrecorded) and mechanic's lien holders. It is possible for junior lien holders to prevent the short sale.
While it is frequently common for a lender to forgive the balance of the loan in question, it is unlikely that a lien holder that is not a mortgagee will forgive any of their balance. Further, it is common for a lender to omit updating the zero balance and settlement option on the mortgagor's credit report, or even flat-out refuse to do so "due to their financial loss."
The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act Of 2007
When the lender decides to forgive all or a portion of the debt and accept less, the forgiven amount is considered as income for the borrower, like with a foreclosure, leaving it open to be taxed. However, The Mortgage Forgiveness Debt Relief Act of 2007 contains amendments to remove such tax liability, allowing the borrower and lender to work together to find a solution beneficial to both parties.
How Does a Short Sale Affect the Borrower's Credit?
The few reported short sales that I have seen have appeared as "Paid Settlements" on a mortgage account. In the wake of the current mortgage crisis, short sales are becoming extremely common, but legislation has not caught up with the tidal wave and there is no law on the books relating to them to date. As a result, there is an opportunity for the borrower to negotiate credit reporting with the lender. I've seen several successful negotiations, so be sure to let your borrower know that it is possible.
My view - a short sale proves that the borrower is exhausting every effort to pay the loan. The borrower has willingly committed to taking on months of emotional and physical stress in a good-faith effort to sell the property to maintain a good relationship with that lender. Most likely, the reason they can't afford their current mortgage is because they were in an adjustable product and their mortgage payment has doubled. That doesn't mean that they can't afford a different loan program with a lower payment. Which leads me to wonder what the incentive is for lenders not to negotiate with the borrower on how the item is reported to the bureaus. All they would be doing is cutting off a pretty substantial future income stream if they put these types of borrowers out of the market for two years. In that light, negotiation for a non-report on short sales is well worth it.
Here are their options in preferred order:
• Paid As Agreed - Won't hurt the score at all as long as the borrower has kept payments current.
Unrated - May drop a few points.
• Paid Settlement - Credit score will drop 50-150 points.
If reported, the item will remain on the credit report for 7 years from the completion date or the settlement date.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
A few weeks ago, Fannie Mae was going to consider a short sale the same as a foreclosure, however, the current selling guideline from Fannie Mae has reduced the amount of time that must elapse after a short sale to 2 years from the date the short sale is completed, not started.
There is no exception for extenuating circumstances.
Bankruptcy Mortgage Relief
Currently, bankruptcy offers very limited protection to a homeowner who is upside down with their payments. The borrower can file a Chapter 7 which, depending on the state bankruptcy law, will most likely require him or her to surrender the property to the bankruptcy court, or file a Chapter 13 debt repayment plan to spread out prior delinquent payments over a number of months or years in the future. However, no bankruptcy proceeding can modify the terms of an existing home loan on a principal residence. Legislation is being proposed to Congress that would allow bankruptcy judges to modify the terms of an existing mortgage loan. I would not hold my breath. It could take years to make further substantial changes to the bankruptcy laws.
How Does a Bankruptcy Affect the Borrower's Credit?
My advice on this is to avoid Bankruptcy at all costs unless, your borrower is upside down on everything. Not only have the new bankruptcy filing requirements become more difficult and more costly, a public record will wreak havoc on credit scores and could stop someone from being hired or renting a place to live.
A Chapter 7 Bankruptcy will remain on the report for 10 years, and a Chapter 13 will remain for 7. The point loss could be from 100-350 points, depending on how many points the borrower has to lose in this factor.
Fannie Mae Waiting Period
The selling guideline from Fannie Mae has not changed. It is a 4 year period of how much time must elapse after a Chapter 7 Bankruptcy. The 4 year period can start on either the discharge or dismissal date.
The exception for extenuating circumstances is 2 years.
Again, the selling guideline from Fannie Mae has not changed. It is a 2 year period of how much time must elapse after a Chapter 13 Bankruptcy. The 2 year period can start on either the discharge or dismissal date.
In the case of multiple bankruptcies, the current selling guidelines that have just been added require a 5 year waiting period from the most recent discharge or dismissal date.
The exception for extenuating circumstances in the case of multiple bankruptcies is a 3 year waiting period from the most recent discharge or dismissal date.
What's the Good News?•
Aging Out: In all instances above where I reference how many points will be lost in each scenario, it is important to make sure your clients understand that over time, all derogatory accounts age out. This means, the older the account becomes, the less it will hurt their credit scores.
• 7 Year Reporting Period: The law states that derogatory items "can be" reported for 7-10 years as outlined above. It doesn't state that they "MUST BE.' My experience proves over and over again that there is no need to wait out the 7 years. You don't have to. You can start seeking early removal of the item by disputing to the credit bureaus that are reporting it. In many instances, after 3-4 years, the item will be deleted.
• You can Start Recovering and Rebuilding immediately. This is key information because many consumers feel doomed for the next 10 years. They have no idea that they can start rebuilding their credit immediately.
Information provided by Linda Ferrari, President, Credit Resource Corp. & Country Ridge Financial
as sent by Colleen Craig, Countryridge Financial in Valencia 661-290-3700
Wednesday, August 13, 2008
SCV Home Sales Increase for Fifth Consecutive Month
Special to Real Estate
By Mary Funk, President, and David Walker,
Southland Regional Association of Realtors
August 2008 Daily News
The residential real estate market in the Santa Clarita Valley continued to stabilize and show improvement during June with sales of singlefamily homes and condos posting the fifth consecutive month of increased activity, the Southland Regional Association of Realtors reported recently.
Sales of existing single-family homes increased 11.2 percent compared to 12 months ago with Realtors closing escrow on 299 transactions. The total also was 4.1 percent higher than this May. Likewise, condo sales of 75 units were 5.6 percent ahead of a year ago and equal to the May tally.
“Open houses are packed with a lot of people expressing interest in buying a home, but closing a sale remains difficult,” said Doreen Chastain-Shine, president of the Association’s Santa Clarita Valley Division. “Qualifying for a home loan is the primary problem, plus there is a mismatch between buyer expectations regarding prices and the reality on the ground.”
While the single-family median price fell 25.6 percent from a year ago to $450,000 – a drop of $155,000 – and has been drifting downward since April 2006 when the record high of $643,000 was set, the pressure on home sellers to reduce prices is not nearly as strong as buyers presume.
Condo prices also have been falling with the median off 23.0 percent from a year ago to $285,000. The condo record-high median price of $397,000 was set in January 2006. Buyers who read media reports of rising foreclosures assume that every market is flooded with bank-owned properties or homes that are being sold for less than the outstanding balance on an existing loan, known as a short sale.
“Real estate is extremely local with the Santa Clarita Valley far better off than other, harder hit areas of the state, especially those that had large numbers of new home tracts aimed primarily at first-time home buyers,” said Jim Link, the Association’s chief executive officer. “We’re optimistic that the worst has passed and that the Santa Clarita Valley resale market will show further improvement over the coming months as distressed properties are worked out and sold.”
Part of the reason real estate leaders believe further steep price discounts are unlikely is because the number of homes on the market tips the negotiating advantage only slightly in favor of home buyers.
“No doubt that foreclosures and short sales are up and there are still current home owners at risk of losing the property,” Chastain-Shine said. “But the pressure on prices is not nearly as great as buyers assume simply because there are not nearly enough active listings to force sellers or banks to accept steep discounts.”
There were 1,940 active listings at the end of June, down 16.4 percent from a year ago and less than 1 percent below the May tally. At the current pace of sales, the inventory represents a 6.4-month supply, only slightly on the high side of the 5- to 6-month supply that is deemed to represent a balanced market.
Neither Link nor Chastain-Shine expected prices to continued dropping as steeply as in recent months, although prices will stabilize only when some measure of normalcy returns to the financial markets. There were a total of 370 open escrows at the end of June, an increase of 26.7 percent from a year ago and 9.1 percent higher than this May – suggesting that buyers are growing more confident and that resale activity will continue to rise throughout the Santa Clarita Valley during the coming months.
By Mary Funk, President, and David Walker,
Southland Regional Association of Realtors
August 2008 Daily News
The residential real estate market in the Santa Clarita Valley continued to stabilize and show improvement during June with sales of singlefamily homes and condos posting the fifth consecutive month of increased activity, the Southland Regional Association of Realtors reported recently.
Sales of existing single-family homes increased 11.2 percent compared to 12 months ago with Realtors closing escrow on 299 transactions. The total also was 4.1 percent higher than this May. Likewise, condo sales of 75 units were 5.6 percent ahead of a year ago and equal to the May tally.
“Open houses are packed with a lot of people expressing interest in buying a home, but closing a sale remains difficult,” said Doreen Chastain-Shine, president of the Association’s Santa Clarita Valley Division. “Qualifying for a home loan is the primary problem, plus there is a mismatch between buyer expectations regarding prices and the reality on the ground.”
While the single-family median price fell 25.6 percent from a year ago to $450,000 – a drop of $155,000 – and has been drifting downward since April 2006 when the record high of $643,000 was set, the pressure on home sellers to reduce prices is not nearly as strong as buyers presume.
Condo prices also have been falling with the median off 23.0 percent from a year ago to $285,000. The condo record-high median price of $397,000 was set in January 2006. Buyers who read media reports of rising foreclosures assume that every market is flooded with bank-owned properties or homes that are being sold for less than the outstanding balance on an existing loan, known as a short sale.
“Real estate is extremely local with the Santa Clarita Valley far better off than other, harder hit areas of the state, especially those that had large numbers of new home tracts aimed primarily at first-time home buyers,” said Jim Link, the Association’s chief executive officer. “We’re optimistic that the worst has passed and that the Santa Clarita Valley resale market will show further improvement over the coming months as distressed properties are worked out and sold.”
Part of the reason real estate leaders believe further steep price discounts are unlikely is because the number of homes on the market tips the negotiating advantage only slightly in favor of home buyers.
“No doubt that foreclosures and short sales are up and there are still current home owners at risk of losing the property,” Chastain-Shine said. “But the pressure on prices is not nearly as great as buyers assume simply because there are not nearly enough active listings to force sellers or banks to accept steep discounts.”
There were 1,940 active listings at the end of June, down 16.4 percent from a year ago and less than 1 percent below the May tally. At the current pace of sales, the inventory represents a 6.4-month supply, only slightly on the high side of the 5- to 6-month supply that is deemed to represent a balanced market.
Neither Link nor Chastain-Shine expected prices to continued dropping as steeply as in recent months, although prices will stabilize only when some measure of normalcy returns to the financial markets. There were a total of 370 open escrows at the end of June, an increase of 26.7 percent from a year ago and 9.1 percent higher than this May – suggesting that buyers are growing more confident and that resale activity will continue to rise throughout the Santa Clarita Valley during the coming months.
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